Premetto subito, al fine di evitare ogni possibile equivoco, di non essere assolutamente un esperto in vulcani, bradisismo e terremoti vari. Anzi, per dirla proprio tutta, incontro sempre non poca difficoltà, rilevando grossi limiti, nel cercare di comprendere, malgrado mi sforzi, specifici e dettagliati post trasmessi da persone ritenute notoriamente molto qualificate, i quali cercano di rilasciare costantemente ed in dettaglio, aggiornamenti, comparazioni, statistiche, dedicando ai “comuni mortali” come me, il loro prezioso ed apprezzato tempo, spiegando quelli che potrebbero essere i presunti risvolti “evolutivi”, nello specifico riferiti a quanto potrebbe avvenire nell’Area dei Campi Flegrei.
Ciò detto, l’unica cosa che mi appare certificabile sinora, per la stessa ammissione di prestigiosi professionisti del settore, nonché scienziati e studiosi di queste specifiche materie, è che l’attuale imprevedibilità del fenomeno bradisismo, “offre” e determinerebbe un ventaglio di ipotesi, talvolta molto diverse fra loro, tanto da risultare disorientanti per essere cosi discordanti nell’affermare tutto ed il contrario di tutto.
Appare evidente, per stessa ammissione di questi studiosi e scienziati della materia, che innanzi a queste specifiche, quanto singolari circostanze, l’Uomo nello specifico ha ancora grandi limiti di conoscenza, che si spera possano essere superati in futuro, dalla tecnologia, dai necessari investimenti ancora tutti da farsi e scaturiti da una normale evoluzione conoscitiva che richiederà il suo tempo, lunga sperimentazione cosi come lo è stato per ogni importante scoperta umana.
Pur affermando in premessa di non essere un esperto di bradisismo, tuttavia, in qualità di vecchio radioamatore (Old Man), previa continua consultazione ed aggiornamenti con numerosi altri miei Colleghi dell’etere, credo di poter dire la mia per quanto riguarda le fasi di emergenza, tra l’altro in numerose altre occasioni già brillantemente affrontate dai radioamatori, verso le quali, è possibile ed appare necessario, porre una particolare, quanto opportuna attenzione. Per questo, sento necessario invitare tutti Voi, ad una piccola riflessione.
Iniziamo a dire che, se si vuole veramente parlare di calamità, pur sperando ovviamente che ciò non accada mai, è necessario iniziare ad eliminare ipotesi del nostro immaginario a noi più gradito e calarci più seriamente in ciò che potrebbe essere (già prevista fra le varie ipotesi possibili), uno stato di reale gravità, che potremmo trovarci ad affrontare, nostro malgrado.
Per quanto rafforzati ultimamente a scopo preventivo, i classici sistemi di comunicazione, come spesso avviene in determinati frangenti, con una livello medio alto di probabilità, saranno i primi a “saltare”. Molte delle attuali e dunque moderne tecnologie, alle quali siamo abituati e diamo pr scontato idealmente sempre e comunque come disponibili, ad esempio Internet, telefonia fissa e quella cellulare, potrebbero all’improvviso interrompersi. Stesso dicasi per le forniture di acqua, elettricità e gas. A questo vanno aggiunti previsioni che interesserebbero crolli di edifici, non percorribilità di strade ed interruzioni percorsi. E’ vero, questo è uno scenario catastrofico, ma stiamo in tema, visto che stiamo parlando concretamente di reale e grave calamità. Risultato ? Il caos generalizzato, traffico paralizzato, famiglie che cercano di ricomporsi, necessità dei primi soccorsi… ecc.ecc.
La cosa più importante che in questi frangenti è quella che spesso resta l’elemento più importante, quanto trascurato, è il flusso dell’informazione. Cosa meglio fare, dove andare, quale posto è da scegliere, a chi chiedere, a chi chiamare… come fare ?
Numerosissime sono le persone che quotidianamente, da tempo affollano sui vari Gruppi in Rete, le quali confidano di essere oramai esaurite, disperate, nonché depresse per la continua apprensione dovuta alle scosse continue, affermano di temere ogni giorno il peggio. E’ pur vero che vi è una buona parte di popolazione che all’insegna dell’ottimismo forzato, apparentemente si mostra incurante, tanto che sembra sfidare anche le calamità più forti, ma è possibile pensare che innanzi ad un evento catastrofico, continuino ancora con questo atteggiamento e mentalità ? O è legittimo ipotizzare che posti innanzi all’evidenza, non siano i primi a sconfessare le proprie, precedenti affermazioni/convinzioni ?
Eppure, esistono mezzi particolarmente economici, come le radio ricetrasmittenti di bassa potenza denominate PMR, acquistabili oggi al costo di cica venti euro, tra l’altro di libero uso, che consentirebbero di ascoltare in tempo reale informazioni utili per tutti e contemporaneamente. Possono anche trasmettere ed essere fondamentali per lanciare potenziali richieste di aiuto nella loro area di azione. Consumano poco e dunque possono essere utilizzate per numerose ore, ricaricabili inoltre come un telefonino e molte di queste hanno pure una luce forte a led integrata che permette di camminare al buio in caso di necessità.
Sono tante le persone che si sono premunite di borse contenenti beni di prima necessità, sicuramente utile, ma la vera ed unica necessità iniziale, resta quella di garantirsi la possibilità di ricevere in tempo reale informazioni, cosi come quella di poter chiedere soccorso in caso di bisogno. Ed in questi casi, l’unica possibilità è resa da piccole ricetrasmittenti, unici strumenti a garantire contatti in determinati momenti di necessità.
Insieme ai miei Colleghi radioamatori dei Campi Flegrei, in caso di interesse, ci renderemo volentieri disponibili e come al solito, senza finalità di lucro, nel rispondere e soddisfare tutte le richieste su eventuali informazioni ed approfondimenti ulteriori, che potete richiederci inviando una mail al seguente indirizzo : ::::::@:::::::::
Grazie per l’attenzione e… Buona Fortuna a tutti !
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https://ermello.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/radioamatore-vignetta.jpg
Numerosissime le persone qualificate ed esperte nell’ambito delle conoscenze su terremoti, bradisismo, vulcanoligia e cosi via, che da molto tempo continuano in tutto il Mondo nel confermare all’unisono, la potenziale pericolosità dei Campi Flegrei. Tuttavia, non riuscendo a prevedere con certezza un chiaro e preciso risvolto, i diversi eventi sinora ipotizzati, oscillano ad ampio raggio dal rassicurante ed ottimistico messaggio che almeno per il momento non succederà nulla, sino a giungere alla previsione di chi insiste che potrebbe esserci anche una distruzione epocale per tutto il Territorio e conseguentemente per i suoi abitanti. Visti gli attuali limiti umani, che per le attuali conoscenze non sono in grado di andare oltre un pur attento e costante monitoraggio, pare si sia alla fine deciso di “organizzarsi” in termini di prevenzione e sicurezza, limitandosi ad una visione/previsione di evento “medio” in termini di criticità, ovvero nei caso/scenario riferibile/limitato a scosse/eventi di livello massimo di 5° della scala Mercalli. Per quello che è dato sapere ai più, il messaggio rassicurante della Protezione Civile ed altre Forze addette alla sicurezza, in primis rassicura la popolazione che non vi è alcuna certificata preoccupazione al momento, ma anche che le Fonti governative, per limiti economici, informa che la ristrutturazione degli immobili a rischio, sarebbe l’unica azione logica ed applicabile, ma al momento, purtroppo non sostenibile per mancanza di fondi necessari. Ai proprietari di tali immobili, l’onere ed anche l’obbligo di provvedere a spese proprie, diversamente, l’imposizione a sgomberare. Piccola eccezione, quella che ultimamente qualche elargizione/contributo pur in piccola percentuale, sarebbe stata prevista per i proprietari di abitazioni/edifici, immediatamente prossimi alla cosiddetta Zona Rossa.
Ho più volte ribadito che la teoria è spesso dissimile da quanto avviene in pratica, ancora di più innanzi ad una situazione che apre a diversi scenari ipotizzabili. E questo è uno di quei casi, dove malgrado la minuzia e lo studio dei particolari, ovvero l’organizzazione di eventuale salvataggio su larga scala, rischia non poco di scontrarsi con quello che potrebbe essere uno scenario ben più diverso da quello sinora studiato per filo e per segno a… tavolino.
Prima di parlare del territorio, della organizzazione delle vie di fuga, nonchè dei luoghi di prima accoglienza, senza troppi giri di parole, bisognerebbe inziare a riflettere su come una determinata popolazione, come sappiamo essere quella napoletana, non “sempre” rispettosa delle regole anche nella normalità, quotidiana, andrebbe (andrà) a reagire innanzi ad un possibile ed improvviso evento, ricco di grandi timori e forte panico.
Dunque, contro ogni tipo di valutazione che sinora pare sia stata attuata/maturata, condizionata in ragione del fattore economico, poichè in termini di prevenzione ci sarebbe da prevedere sempre tutto il possibile, cerchiamo di ragionare su quanto c’è come ragionevole attesa, innanzi ad uno scenario di elevata criticità tellurica.
* CROLLI DI EDIFICI GIA’ ATTUALMENTE DEFINIBILI A RISCHIO
* VITTIME ( MORTI E FERITI CAUSATI DALL’EVENTO DEL PUNTO 1 )
* STRADE IMPRATICABILI ALLA CIRCOLAZIONE
* MANCATO RISPETTO DELLE REGOLE DI VIABILITA’ PUR SE IMPOSTE
* ASSENZA DI COMUNICAZIONI (NO INTERNET, TELEFONIA, SOCIAL…)
* INTERRUZIONE FORNITURA ENERGIA ELETTRICA – GAS – ACQUA
* FOCOLAI DI INCENDI
* FLUSSO INTRECCIATO PERCORRENZA PER RICONGIUNGIMENTI
* CAOS GENERALIZZATO, AGGRAVATO DA STATI EMOTIVI
* RICERCA ESASPERATA DI RICEVERE INFO SU COSA FARE
Per quanto si possa aver fatto sinora in termini di prevenzione, un altro dato di certo molto significativo ed assolutamente da considerare, riguarda la percezione e conseguente partecipazione che la popolazione ha sin qui dedicato alle esercitazioni/simulazioni relative alle (costosissime) prove di evacuazione. Per i motivi di cui sopra e considerata la gravità posta in discussione, l’esito è stato a dir poco deludente. Per farla breve, molti di più sono risultati i potenziali soccorritori, mentre tristemente scarno, il numero dei potenziali da mettere in salvo. Ora, al netto delle giustificazioni che sono emerse da parte dei cittadini “interessati”, che sostenevano di essere impegnati, questo fa capire molto quanto il problema, pur innanzi ad una prova di tale importanza, sia stato per molti aspetti vano, dispendioso, se non del tutto inutile nel risultato, non per ultimo rispetto agli auspici. Molto probabilmente, con un altra base di cultura civica, fosse avvenuto in Giappone, le cose sarebbero andate molto diversamente.
Appare dunque, in tutta la sua evidenza e per i motivi di cui sopra, comprendere come meglio operare in termini di salvatggio, per una popolazione così poco “allenata” nel concentrarsi seriamente ad affrontare serie problematiche come questa.
Ne consegue che la distribuzione di ricetrasmittenti (es. tipo PMR) in dotazione alla popolazione, possa essere una prima soluzione atta a garantire un mezzo di comunicazione per le Aree interessate e coinvolte potenzialmente in tali circostanze. Tale dotazione, consentirebbe simultaneamante di :
* RICEVERE INFORMAZIONI IN ZONA IN REAL TIME
* RICHIEDERE LOCALMENTE SOCCORSI NELLE IMMEDIATE VICINANZE
* COMPRENDERE LO STATO DELL’ARTE / SEGUIRE PRECISE INDICAZIONI
* DIALOGARE A BREVE RAGGIO CON ALTRI UTENTI SU DIVERSI CANALI
* te
Attualmente, questi wakiie Talkie, sono facilmente acquistabili in Rete e risultano (quelli a norma) di libero uso. Essi hanno un costo medio che oscilla da poco più di dieci euro a salire. Qualsiasi radioamatore patentato, sarà lieto di fornire GRATUITAMENTE il miglior consiglio in base alle vosre esigenze. Nell’augurato caso che non servissero per ragioni di emergenza, possono essere sempre essere utilizzati per divertimento. E’ consigliabile/preferibile acquistare walkie talkie PMR (omologati per bassa potenza), che abbiano al loro interno una batteria ricaricabile, meglio se con presa USB (poichè diffuso ovunque, anche sul caricatore dei celulari o presa auto). Preferenza per i modelli che a corredo prevedono led luminoso, uso torcia elettrica.
https://www.fanpage.it/napoli/ai-campi-flegrei-non-si-potra-piu-costruire-legge-per-impedire-nuove-case-nellarea-bradisismica/
Comune di Pozzuoli
pndterosoS9550798lh4ig6c15lugl74i97ac90i6 mh521c3m511n5l9mg0 ·
Comunicato del Sindaco di Pozzuoli alla cittadinanza
21 gennaio 2025
L’Osservatorio Vesuviano ha comunicato a questa amministrazione che a partire dalle ore 14:36 è in corso una sequenza di eventi sismici nei pressi di via Solfatara
L’evento più significativo, localizzato in zona Solfatara in prossimità della Variante Solfatara si è prodotto alle 14:36, ora locale,(UTC 13:36) alla profondità di 2.9 km con magnitudo Md=2.1± 0.3
L’evento potrebbe essere stato accompagnato da un boato avvertito dagli abitanti delle aree prossime all’epicentro.
Per eventuali segnalazioni di danni e/o disagi è possibile chiamare i seguenti numeri:
Centrale Operativa Polizia Municipale : 081/8551891
Protezione Civile : 081/18894400
In considerazione di quanto sopra esposto l’Amministrazione Comunale insieme alla Protezione Civile del comune di Pozzuoli segue da vicino l’evolversi della sequenza sismica in atto e fornirà successivi aggiornamenti fino a conclusione del fenomeno.
Maggiori informazioni sull’evoluzione della fase di sollevamento e sui fenomeni che l’accompagnano, possono essere trovate sul sito dell’Osservatorio Vesuviano – INGV (http://www.ov.ingv.it/ov/) e sui bollettini settimanali e mensili dei Campi Flegrei.